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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
95.5 % chance
No
4.5 % chance
$2.6K
24

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.5 %chance
  • Yes 95.5¢ · No 4.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

29.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.5¢
Yes price now
66.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • mr…deYes1,532
  • Ad…shYes1,190
  • Vi…axNo793.5
  • so…saYes555
  • f…rNo1,250

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Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank