Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
42.5 % chance
No
57.5 % chance
$12.0K
31
Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 42.5 %chance
- Yes 42.5¢ · No 57.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
50.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
42.5¢
Yes price now
7.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
79
Smart money
28
Top holders
- mi…baNo11,580
- no…ckYes5,000
- an…noYes2,618
- sb…bgYes2,573
- Pr…ieNo1,526
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