Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?

Live

Yes

23.5 % chance

76.5 % chance

$625.51

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

23.5 %chance
Yes 23.5¢ · No 76.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.8¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

23.5¢

Yes price now

1.3¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Lu…ysNo171.9
Ba…cyYes335.2
ba…arNo121.6
Pr…ieYes194
Sp…wlNo113

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