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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

Live

Yes
74.5 % chance
No
25.5 % chance
$10.8K
61

Trading opened Jan 29, 2026 00:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TN-09 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 74.5 %chance
  • Yes 74.5¢ · No 25.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

74.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.0¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
138
Smart money
50

Top holders

  • Ra…olNo12,880
  • sa…xzYes5,906
  • an…23Yes4,249
  • ma…ksYes2,607
  • Pr…ieYes1,444

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Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank