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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?

Live

Yes
18.0 % chance
No
82.0 % chance
$710.81
16

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 18.0 %chance
  • Yes 18.0¢ · No 82.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.3¢
Yes price now
11.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo414.3
  • re…26Yes1,080
  • Vi…axNo244
  • sh…ooYes576
  • Ad…stNo153

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank