Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7?
Live
Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$157.00
5
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.5 %chance
- Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Vi…axNo80
- My…iaNo77.1
- gm…mgNo50.9
- AnonymousNo27
- Ad…stNo24
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