Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
2.4 % chance
No
97.6 % chance
$0.87
3
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.4 %chance
- Yes 2.4¢ · No 97.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.4¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- ka…78No70
- do…meNo48.5
- Li…ueNo44.5
- go…26No40
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