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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

Live

Yes
18.4 % chance
No
81.6 % chance
$879.83
20

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 18.4 %chance
  • Yes 18.4¢ · No 81.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.4¢
Yes price now
7.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • re…26No668.1
  • Lu…ysNo380.1
  • Ba…cyNo282
  • sh…ooYes790.9
  • 0x…g4Yes617

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank