Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Live
Yes
9.5 % chance
No
90.5 % chance
$25.00
2
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.5 %chance
- Yes 9.5¢ · No 90.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.5¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0
Top holders
- Gu…erNo96
- ne…taNo62
- Vo…kyYes139.3
- A…VNo40.3
- is…taNo27.5
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