World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Live
Yes
47.5 % chance
No
52.5 % chance
$2.1K
36
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 47.5 %chance
- Yes 47.5¢ · No 52.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
57.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
47.5¢
Yes price now
9.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
73
Smart money
23
Top holders
- sd…kyNo1,117
- Ha…thYes775.3
- pr…esYes608.5
- Lu…ysNo550.4
- An…82No500.8
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…