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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
2.4 % chance
No
97.6 % chance
$73.83
17

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.4 %chance
  • Yes 2.4¢ · No 97.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.4¢
Yes price now
7.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo158.4
  • Ad…shNo111.9
  • ci…esNo123.9
  • no…erNo85
  • sh…ooYes242

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Will the Labour Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank