Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$128.39
9
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
18.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
6
Top holders
- Jo…92No200
- Ad…stNo80
- Vi…axNo78.6
- ge…cfYes150
- A…VNo59.5
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