Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Live
Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$8.5K
46
Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 17:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.5 %chance
- Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
46.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
24.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
88
Smart money
37
Top holders
- pa…aaNo3,726
- Mu…ntNo1,885
- ad…z1No1,300
- w…gYes1,778
- ou…esYes1,249
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