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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?

Live

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$319.51
11

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
2.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • ba…arNo436.7
  • Wo…ldNo179.3
  • Tr…tyYes999.2
  • Lu…ysNo101.6
  • go…26No85

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank