Politics · Middle EastTrump
Question
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?
Live · started Sep 20 15:30 UTC
Yes
94.5 % chance
No
5.5 % chance
$146.7K
96
Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 22:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 23:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.5 %chance
- Yes 94.5¢ · No 5.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
89.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.5¢
Yes price now
4.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
177
Smart money
65
Top holders
- Lu…erYes70,033
- sd…kyYes20,000
- Re…e.Yes10,681
- la…anYes10,000
- Ai…rdNo17,337
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