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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%?

Live

Yes
5.8 % chance
No
94.2 % chance
$854.52
16

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.8 %chance
  • Yes 5.8¢ · No 94.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.8¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo414.3
  • Vi…axNo244
  • vi…20Yes588.8
  • Ad…stNo153
  • Ch…orNo113.2

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank