Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
Live
Yes
18.5 % chance
No
81.5 % chance
$1.1K
31
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 18.5 %chance
- Yes 18.5¢ · No 81.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.5¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
54
Smart money
28
Top holders
- An…meNo603.8
- A…VYes889.3
- Ju…reNo291.8
- jo…22Yes513
- pl…erNo145
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