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World · Global elections

Question

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?

Live

Yes
29.5 % chance
No
70.5 % chance
$684.58
29

Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 29.5 %chance
  • Yes 29.5¢ · No 70.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

19.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.5¢
Yes price now
10.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • An…82Yes501.3
  • Bi…ggNo274.8
  • Lu…ysNo224.2
  • ci…esNo162.9
  • ba…arNo169.3

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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank