Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 16?
Live
Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$501.46
9
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 16:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.2 %chance
- Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Im…akNo4,263
- AnonymousNo800
- Fa…ngYes1,433
- e…3Yes1,504
- gm…mgYes1,220
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