Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 4?

Live · started Oct 3 16:00 UTC

Yes

26.0 % chance

74.0 % chance

$1.4K

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 04:57 UTC · Kick-off Oct 3, 2026 16:00 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 4? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

Yes26.0¢
No74.0¢

1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.4¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

26.0¢

Yes price now

10.6¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

114

Smart money

Top holders

AnonymousYes837.2
h…vNo246.7
si…33No225
he…67No200
Bi…tsYes194.9

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Connect to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.