Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$957.03
22
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 22, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
15.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
17
Top holders
- de…ncNo581.4
- mi…ktNo255.2
- A…VYes437.4
- ba…arNo106.5
- sm…ptNo75
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