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WeatherTyphoon

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$199.00
8

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:47 UTC · Scheduled close Jun 30, 2027 23:59 UTC

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes0.4¢
  • No99.6¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • 0x…8ENo300
  • do…meNo130.1
  • My…iaNo101.1
  • gm…mgNo78.6
  • e…3No76.2

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Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank