Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
31.0 % chance
No
69.0 % chance
$1.8K
26
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 31.0 %chance
- Yes 31.0¢ · No 69.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
43.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
31.0¢
Yes price now
12.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
54
Smart money
15
Top holders
- CD…esYes2,166
- Cb…edNo288.1
- ro…05Yes299.2
- Vi…axNo310
- Lo…tsNo299.3
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…