Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?

Live

Yes

96.4 % chance

3.6 % chance

$3.7K

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:39 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

MO-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

96.4 %chance
Yes 96.4¢ · No 3.6¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

91.5¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

96.4¢

Yes price now

4.8¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Re…onYes1,988
mr…deYes1,245
ci…esYes602
Wi…orYes500
Si…eeNo1,691

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.