Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
4.0 % chance
No
96.0 % chance
$5.4K
28
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.0 %chance
- Yes 4.0¢ · No 96.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 4.0¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
44
Smart money
21
Top holders
- Jo…wnNo1,000
- No…teNo990.6
- ra…esYes3,198
- Ar…lyNo601
- w…gNo589.6
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