Weather · Hurricanes
Question
Will Isaias peak at Category 4?
Live
Yes
2.0 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$3.2K
25
Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 13:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.0 %chance
- Yes 2.0¢ · No 98.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
13.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.0¢
Yes price now
11.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
19
Top holders
- 1w…usNo2,450
- Be…shNo600
- ra…07Yes465.1
- Bu…eoYes1,700
- gm…mgNo154
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