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World · Global elections

Question

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Live

Yes
38.5 % chance
No
61.5 % chance
$3.3K
18

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 18, 2027 23:59 UTC

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place → all 43 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 38.5 %chance
  • Yes 38.5¢ · No 61.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.5¢
Yes price now
12.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • dr…ruNo422
  • 0x…88Yes360
  • A…VYes223.3
  • Lu…ysNo92.6
  • gf…ddYes99.2

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank