World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$72.29
5
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo65
- do…meNo30
- qu…elNo30
- Vi…axNo30
- mo…16No10.4
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