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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$1.3K
46

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 21.5 %chance
  • Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

34.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.0¢
Yes price now
11.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
95
Smart money
33

Top holders

  • AnonymousYes574.6
  • Fr…naNo346.2
  • ar…owNo311.8
  • So…xtNo233
  • q…qYes399.5

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank