World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Live
Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$808.82
22
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.8 %chance
- Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
12.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Va…erYes739.8
- mi…ktNo99.4
- Ad…stNo93.1
- do…meNo88.5
- ci…esNo50.3
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