Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
Live
Yes
41.5 % chance
No
58.5 % chance
$4.1K
28
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 41.5 %chance
- Yes 41.5¢ · No 58.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
41.5¢
Yes price now
13.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
25
Top holders
- Fl…iaYes4,127
- An…meNo856.6
- sd…f2No700
- lo…liNo660
- Pa…inNo422.7
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