Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$3.2K
39
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
32.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
66
Smart money
28
Top holders
- mr…deNo1,680
- Fa…stNo1,139
- Tr…tyYes1,366
- Ad…shYes1,248
- Re…onYes1,107
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