Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
5.4 % chance
No
94.6 % chance
$1.1K
28
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.4 %chance
- Yes 5.4¢ · No 94.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.4¢
Yes price now
2.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
50
Smart money
24
Top holders
- ba…arNo241
- i…3No100
- Ju…reNo95.8
- Ha…thYes520.5
- go…94No70
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