World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$662.20
8
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
28
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo419.5
- Ad…stNo93
- Sp…atNo45.4
- ba…arNo40
- mi…ktNo30
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