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World · Global elections

Question

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$662.20
8

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
28
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo419.5
  • Ad…stNo93
  • Sp…atNo45.4
  • ba…arNo40
  • mi…ktNo30

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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank