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Weather · BeijingBeijing Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?

Live · starts 16:00 UTC

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$503.89
35

Trading opened Oct 18, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.3¢
Yes price now
1.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
56
Smart money
30

Top holders

  • he…67No202
  • Lu…ysNo61.9
  • gh…ckNo60.7
  • Be…68Yes200
  • 24…32No40

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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank