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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
3.0 % chance
No
97.0 % chance
$393.61
12

Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 20:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 18, 2027 03:59 UTC

Fed Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.0 %chance
  • Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.0¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • do…meNo95.8
  • mu…erNo87.6
  • go…94No75
  • Lu…ysNo70.3
  • Vi…axNo50

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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank