Weather · ClimateExceptional Drought This Week
Question
Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Yes
75.0 % chance
No
25.0 % chance
$1.82
2
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 13:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 13:00 UTC
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026 → all 40 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 75.0 %chance
- Yes 75.0¢ · No 25.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
92.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.0¢
Yes price now
17.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- mo…yyYes110.1
- Su…ISYes30
- ri…ddNo106.4
- tr…e1Yes20
- St…alYes10
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