Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live
Yes
83.2 % chance
No
16.8 % chance
$4.5K
42
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 83.2 %chance
- Yes 83.2¢ · No 16.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 83.2¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
99
Smart money
30
Top holders
- w…gYes4,852
- To…thYes3,101
- Bo…loYes1,400
- Vi…axNo3,041
- C…rYes900
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