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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 14?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$753.99
27

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.8 %chance
  • Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
61
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • ma…91No298
  • So…xtNo293
  • da…thNo134.1
  • Fr…naNo107.2
  • gh…ckNo56.7

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 14? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank