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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Live

Yes
67.5 % chance
No
32.5 % chance
$5.7K
26

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:13 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

VA-05 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 67.5 %chance
  • Yes 67.5¢ · No 32.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

64.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
67.5¢
Yes price now
2.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
24

Top holders

  • an…23Yes15,586
  • Ju…nkYes8,000
  • Ga…maYes6,100
  • Ch…arNo9,889
  • ae…s2No7,289

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Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank