Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?
Live
Yes
5.7 % chance
No
94.3 % chance
$6.7K
38
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 01:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.7 %chance
- Yes 5.7¢ · No 94.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
12.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.7¢
Yes price now
7.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
139
Smart money
28
Top holders
- Bl…erNo1,728
- Ar…lyNo1,000
- Po…leYes3,483
- Lu…ysNo453.1
- Bi…ggNo434
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