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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
7.0 % chance
No
93.0 % chance
$490.92
14

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.0 %chance
  • Yes 7.0¢ · No 93.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.0¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • To…yyNo321.6
  • sc…oiNo319.8
  • an…noNo250
  • R…eYes849.8
  • Vi…axNo209.8

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank