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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 16?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$641.96
33

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
3.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
53
Smart money
27

Top holders

  • M…TNo502
  • 24…32No268
  • h…vNo249.3
  • AnonymousNo179.2
  • cl…dyNo144

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank