Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 13, 2026?

Live

Yes

24.3 % chance

75.7 % chance

$50.67

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

24.3 %chance
Yes 24.3¢ · No 75.7¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.0¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

24.3¢

Yes price now

12.3¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

A…VYes181.3
Se…ceNo36
mi…ktNo34.5
Ta…27No20
go…94No18

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