Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
12.4 % chance
No
87.6 % chance
$1.1K
28
Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.4 %chance
- Yes 12.4¢ · No 87.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.4¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
24
Top holders
- an…noNo1,339
- ch…ahYes1,430
- Ha…thNo435.3
- Pr…ieNo398.3
- qu…lyYes765.7
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