Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?
Live
Yes
79.0 % chance
No
21.0 % chance
$3.8K
16
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 79.0 %chance
- Yes 79.0¢ · No 21.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
73.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
79.0¢
Yes price now
5.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Dr…eoYes2,000
- Ki…ngNo2,624
- Op…ntYes1,246
- ma…anNo245
- Id…veYes100
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