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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 13:53 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$954.85
24

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place → all 33 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

22.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
22.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • Sn…erYes875.4
  • ad…z1No255
  • Of…keNo300
  • mi…27No173.5
  • Of…keYes225

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Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank