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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts 17:00 UTC

Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$27.2K
66

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:05 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.4 %chance
  • Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
116
Smart money
44

Top holders

  • Br…nkNo172,519
  • J…oNo63,507
  • sw…eaYes197,493
  • tm…eyYes51,727
  • Ar…lyNo7,809

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank