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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$446.96
16

Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 20:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 18, 2027 03:59 UTC

Fed Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.6¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • 0x…B5No112.9
  • mu…erNo87.6
  • Lu…ysNo70.3
  • C…MNo60
  • do…meNo51.1

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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank