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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

Live

Yes
39.0 % chance
No
61.0 % chance
$2.0K
35

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 14:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 39.0 %chance
  • Yes 39.0¢ · No 61.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.0¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
52
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • fi…98No300
  • AnonymousNo288
  • E…aNo225.8
  • pa…aaYes260.5
  • ba…isYes244

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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank